Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 22, 2026, 5:35 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
2030 53.8%Leader of 6 outcomes
2030 53.8%Forecasters
38
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleNov 20, 24, 6:11 PM UTCJan 1, 31, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
Definition of "AI-rendered video game"
- To qualify, a video game must have its graphics rendered by AI in real time.
- An AI should be rendering graphics at least 50% of the time in an average playthrough.
- When the AI is rendering graphics, it should generate at least one image per second.
- The images should generally depend on the very recent actions of the player - for instance, the player character immediately starts moving left when you press the left button.
- It's okay if certain parts of the game are not AI-rendered, like UI elements.
