Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Gavin Newsom 16.7%Leader of 63 outcomes
Gavin Newsom 16.7%Forecasters
506
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+1.2 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMay 1, 23, 10:23 PM UTCSep 2, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028
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Manifold Markets2028 Republican Nominee for President?
GeminiLA-05 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
Resolves to whoever is nominated as the Democratic Party's U.S. presidential candidate at the Democratic National Convention in 2028.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Democratic Nominee for 2028 Presidential Election · Gavin Newsom 17%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- Also available on Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 19%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 19%
- Also available on Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 ·
