Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastOther 26%+0.7ptLeader of 30 outcomes
Forecasters
44
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Nov 18, 24, 3:40 AMSep 2, 28, 3:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Pete Butigieg6%
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Who will win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
2y
21%
15%
13%
+14 more outcomes
Retail prediction exchange
PREDICTITAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
2y
21.3%
-0.2pt16.3%
-0.2pt14.5%
+59 more outcomes
Community forecast484 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSAlso available on Manifold Markets
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
2y
+0.2pt21.2%
+0.1pt16.7%
-0.4pt14.6%
+78 more outcomes
Community forecast1,872 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRules
Bet On Democratic Nominee In 2028
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$41Jul 186d of dataJul 27
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Bet On Democratic Nominee In 2028