Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
Other 25.2%Leader of 30 outcomes
Forecasters
45
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleNov 18, 24, 3:40 AM UTCSep 2, 28, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028?
Manifold Markets2028 Democratic Nominee for President?
GeminiWill Kamala Harris be the Democratic Nominee for President in 2028?
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Manifold Markets2028 Republican Nominee for President?
GeminiLA-02 Democratic nominee?
KalshiRules
Bet On Democratic Nominee In 2028
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Smarkets — Democratic Presidential Nominee · Jon Ossoff 18%
- Also available on Kalshi — 2028 Democratic presidential nominee · Jon Ossoff 17%
- Also available on Gemini — 2028 Democratic Nominee for President? · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 17%
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Who will be the Democratic nominee for president in 2028? · Jon Ossoff 19%
- Also available on Robinhood (Rothera) — 2028 Democratic Presidential Nominee · JOSS 17%
- Also available on Polymarket — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Limitless — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 18%
- Also available on Myriad — Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028 · Gavin Newsom 62%
Open markets
Politics
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-0.6pt18%
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Gavin Newsom-0.7pt15%
+48 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.3B
- 24h Vol
- $2.1M
POLYMARKETVenezuela leader end of 2026?
- Delcy Rodríguez+41.0pt56%
- Nicolás Maduro-39.9pt43%
- No Head of State-0.1pt1%
+13 more outcomes
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance51%
- Marco Rubio+0.1pt16%
- Ron DeSantis3%
+39 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $706.6M
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom13%
+45 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $221.9M
- 24h Vol
- $635.7K
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep-1.0pt58.6%
- D-House, R-Senate30.3%
- Republicans sweep-0.2pt10.1%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $16.7M
POLYMARKETIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through which date?
- July 18+0.3pt100%
- July 20+0.1pt100%
- July 22+0.5pt100%
+21 more outcomes
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
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- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany by which date?
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028?
- Manifold Markets prices Other at 25% as of September 20, 2026.
- When does Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 resolve?
- Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 is scheduled to resolve on September 2, 2028.
- How is Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Bet On Democratic Nominee In 2028
- Where else is Who will be the democratic nominee for president in 2028 listed?
- The same question is also listed on Smarkets, Kalshi, Gemini, Manifold Markets, Robinhood (Rothera), Polymarket, Limitless, Myriad.