Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastPete Buttigieg 85%Leader of 53 outcomes
Forecasters
163
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleOct 10, 23, 3:00 PM UTCJun 17, 28, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
This market uses the new Unlinked Multiple Choice format.
- The probabilites of each answer are independent of the other answers.
- Individual answers can resolve early, while the market as a whole remains open.
- Any person who appears in Wikipedia's "major candidates" section, at any time, for the 2028 Democratic Party presidential primaries will resolve YES.
- The criteria here are:
- The candidates in this section have declared their candidacies and meet one or more of the following criteria: campaign has received substantial major media coverage; current or previous holder of significant elected office (president, vice president, governor, U.S. senator, U.S. representative); have been included in at least five national polls.
