Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination?
PoliticsOne-OffUS PoliticsElection1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 62.9%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 hours ago
StaleJul 12, 26, 9:21 PM UTCJun 1, 28, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market will resolve YES if Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom are the two candidates with the highest delegate count in the 2028 Democratic Party Presidential Primaries.
- It will resolve based on state election results, not committed delegates at the convention (i.e. in the case of a contested convention).
Open markets
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KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 63% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination? resolve?
- Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination? is scheduled to resolve on June 1, 2028.
- How is Will Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom be the two frontrunners for the 2028 Democratic Presidential Nomination? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This market will resolve YES if Kamala Harris and Gavin Newsom are the two candidates with the highest delegate count in the 2028 Democratic Party Presidential Primaries.