![[Metaculus] Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?](/_next/image?url=https%3A%2F%2Ffirebasestorage.googleapis.com%2Fv0%2Fb%2Fmantic-markets.appspot.com%2Fo%2Fdream%252F9rA4xbqHXD.png%3Falt%3Dmedia%26token%3Ddf99a87a-d2a6-4a01-b8b0-dfab79fb9950&w=128&q=80)
[Metaculus] Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
GeopoliticsOne-OffRussia / Ukraine3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 71.8%
No 71.8%Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleOct 7, 23, 1:24 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:00 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Will the next Russian leader disapprove of the Russian invasion of Ukraine?
- Resolves the same as the original on Metaculus.
- Resolution criteria
- This question will resolve as Yes if the next Russian leader following Vladimir Putin expresses their disapproval of the February 2022 invasion of ukraine, in word or deed, by doing any of these:
- Publicly stating that the Putin's decision to invade Ukraine was a mistake (or a crime).
- Ordering a withdrawal of the Russian forces from the majority (or all) of the Ukrainian territories occupied in 2022+ that are still under Russian control, and do it without attempting to capture new territories.
