Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
ChainlinkOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 86%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 11, 23, 1:54 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
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PolymarketRules
The Fehmarn Belt fixed link is an under-construction road and rail connection between Germany and Eastern Denmark.
- According to the project website, it will be completed and open to traffic in 2029.
- This question resolves to true if the project is officially completed before 2030 [1].
- In the absence of an official announcement of completion, or in the event that the link is declared completed despite clearly not being capable of full-scale operation, I reserve the right to use a common-sense resolution criteria based on whether or not the link is routinely passable for regular road and rail traffic.
- [1] As per the official time in Copenhagen
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 86% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030? resolve?
- Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: The Fehmarn Belt fixed link is an under-construction road and rail connection between Germany and Eastern Denmark.