Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLess than $10M or bankrupt 64.7%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
3
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleSep 14, 23, 6:38 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
PolymarketWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
PolymarketRules
When Haven goes bankrupt, gets acquired, or goes public with an IPO, what will its valuation be?
- https://www.ycombinator.com/companies/haven-3
- [link preview]
Open markets
ChainlinkKALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-3.0pt47%
- Ethereum (ETH)-4.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)38%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $689.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Total Vol
- $315.5
- 24h Vol
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)?
- $10M - $100M45.4%
- Less than $10M or bankrupt44.5%
- $100M - $1B6.8%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $117.8
- 24h Vol
MANIFOLD MARKETSOf the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m)18.9%
- Customer Service Representatives (2022 value: 2.9m)16.2%
- Office Clerks, General (2022 value: 2.5m)12.6%
+15 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Exit valuation of Haven (YC S23)??
- Manifold Markets prices Less than $10M or bankrupt at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Exit valuation of Haven (YC S23)? resolve?
- Exit valuation of Haven (YC S23)? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.
- How is Exit valuation of Haven (YC S23)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: When Haven goes bankrupt, gets acquired, or goes public with an IPO, what will its valuation be?