Current community forecast
Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m) 18.9%Leader of 18 outcomes
Forecasters
13
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 5 hours ago
StaleDec 19, 23, 9:33 PM UTCJul 18, 28, 5:59 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Which of these jobs will be the first to decline to less than 50% the number of workers it had in May, 2022?
- So, every year we check the result (looks like the reports are annual, in May) and look at the decrease levels.
- If there is a decrease such that the level at that point is <50% the starting, 2022, value, then that one wins.
- If in one year TWO or more jobs decrease to <50%, then whichever one decreased more relative to the original will be deemed the "most decreasing" job.
- Also, every year I will update the name of each to display how much it's gone down, and maybe what percentage that is.
- I will adjust the deadline as time goes by, until we get a hit.