Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastLess than $10M or bankrupt 60%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
2
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 7 hours ago
StaleSep 14, 23, 6:39 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
When Spine AI goes bankrupt, gets acquired, or goes public with an IPO, what will its valuation be?
- https://www.ycombinator.com/companies/spine-ai
- [link preview]
Open markets
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- Chainlink (LINK)-7.0pt45%
- Ethereum (ETH)+2.0pt41%
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+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $688.3K
- 24h Vol
- $758.3
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhen will consumer AI be able to read me a book
- Before Jan 1, 202950%
- Before Jan 1, 202839%
- Before January 1, 202737%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $273.2
- 24h Vol
MANIFOLD MARKETSNo Game No Life season 2 release date?
- Never32.8%
- Announced in 2030-204029.7%
- Announced in 2027-202815.6%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $433.2
- 24h Vol
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of CambioML (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt60%
- $10M - $100M14.3%
- $100M - $1B14.3%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $40
- 24h Vol
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)??
- Manifold Markets prices Less than $10M or bankrupt at 60% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)? resolve?
- Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.
- How is Exit valuation of Spine AI (YC S23)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: When Spine AI goes bankrupt, gets acquired, or goes public with an IPO, what will its valuation be?