Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast$10M - $100M 45.4%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
6
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 4 hours ago
StaleSep 14, 23, 6:36 PM UTCJan 1, 00, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
When Chatter goes bankrupt, gets acquired, or goes public with an IPO, what will its valuation be?
- https://www.ycombinator.com/companies/chatter
- [link preview]
Open markets
Chainlink
KALSHIWhich of these cryptocurrencies will have a positive return in 2026?
- Chainlink (LINK)-3.0pt47%
- Ethereum (ETH)-4.0pt41%
- Bitcoin (BTC)38%
+7 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $689.2K
- 24h Vol
- $1.4K
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in 2026?
- ↑ 14+8.4pt100%
- ↓ 12+22.4pt100%
- ↓ 10+32.5pt100%
+12 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat price will Chainlink hit in September?
- ↑ 12+48.0pt100%
- ↑ 1451%
- ↓ 1051%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
MANIFOLD MARKETSExit valuation of Haven (YC S23)?
- Less than $10M or bankrupt64.7%
- $10M - $100M12.6%
- $100M - $1B12.6%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $50
- 24h Vol
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the Fehmarn Belt fixed link between Denmark and Germany be completed by 2030?
- No86%
- Yes14%
- Total Vol
- $315.5
- 24h Vol
- —
MANIFOLD MARKETSOf the top 18 jobs in the US in the year 2022, which one will be first to lose at least 1/2 of its workers?
- Heavy and Tractor-Trailer Truck Drivers (2022 value: 2.0m)18.9%
- Customer Service Representatives (2022 value: 2.9m)16.2%
- Office Clerks, General (2022 value: 2.5m)12.6%
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Exit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)??
- Manifold Markets prices $10M - $100M at 45% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Exit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)? resolve?
- Exit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2100.
- How is Exit valuation of Chatter (YC S23)? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: When Chatter goes bankrupt, gets acquired, or goes public with an IPO, what will its valuation be?