Current community forecast
Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) 31.3%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
10
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 hours ago
StaleFeb 27, 26, 3:47 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of Halloween 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill OpenAI IPO and be a publicly traded company in the United States by the end of April Fools 2027?
Manifold MarketsWhich publicly traded company will have the largest market cap on 1 January 2030?
Manifold MarketsMSCI Emerging Markets Index performance in 2026
FutuurMSCI World Index performance in 2026
FutuurLargest IPO by market cap in 2026?
PolymarketRules
I am genuinely looking for the answer(s) to this question.
- Blocks (fka Square) today announced a layoff of 4000 (40%).
- The rationale was, essentially, "with LLMs we can do as much or more with fewer people."
- https://x.com/jack/status/2027129697092731343?s=48&t=mDXa3gUaEz2j4wCIWfdAUA
- I predict that this is a herald; I suspect other companies have been thinking it and will be inspired to follow.
- I just don't know who, so I'm now looking for the wisdom of the markets here.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices Meta Platforms (NASDAQ: META) at 31% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026? resolve?
- Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Which publicly traded US companies will do a purely-LLM-performance-based layoff in 2026? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: I am genuinely looking for the answer(s) to this question.
