Data quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 4:20 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
Yes 54.6%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleAug 9, 26, 4:32 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
At the time of writing, China allocated for ~90% of 13,318 units (Omdia) in 2025.
- So currently 39x more units.
- Resolve to https://servobrief.com/mapping-humanoids or secondary sources as necessary.
- See this tweet: Crémieux (@cremieuxrecueil) on X
- America's humanoid robot companies have higher valuations, but they're not shipping anywhere near as many bots as China's.
- [link preview]