Current implied probability
Chung Tung-chin 93.8%-3.9ptVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
Market quality
75 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$23.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
89.7% / 89.9%
Spread
0.2 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
7d Change
-5.0 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Aug 14, 26, 12:56 PM UTCNov 28, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Magistrate of Miaoli County as a result of this election.
- Temporary, interim, or placeholder Magistrates appointed before the election will not be considered.
- If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
- This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
- If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).