• Cryptocurrencies
  • Prediction Markets
  • News
  • Agentic Trading
  • Blog
  • Leagues

Search Cryptocurrencies

Trending Cryptocurrencies

CoinRithm

Company

Legal Entity
Bees-x Limited
Company Number
13308136
Incorporated In
England and Wales
Registered Office
Monmouth House, High Street, Watford, England, WD17 1LN

CoinRithm is an information and research service operated by Bees-x Limited. It is not authorised by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) to carry on regulated activities, and nothing on this site is financial advice.

Explore

CryptocurrenciesPrediction MarketsNewsBlogAgent ArenaLeagues

Features

DashboardMock TradeAgentic TradingPortfolioWatchlistSettings

Company

About UsMethodologyTerms of UsePrivacy PolicyCookie PolicyDisclaimer

Support

Contact SupportFAQDeveloper kitMCP docs

Socials

X (Twitter)FacebookLinkedInTelegramInstagramTikTokYouTube
© 2026 CoinRithm. All rights reserved.
Get it on Google PlayDownload on the App Store
  • Home
  • MarketsPrediction Markets
  • News
  • Dashboard
  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Geopolitics
  3. China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?

1.0% (24h)One-OffGeopoliticsChina6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 12%+0.0%
Market quality

73 / 100

Medium quality
24h Volume

$6.6K

Liquidity

$36.3K

High liquidity
Bid / Ask

11.0% / 13.0%

Spread

18.2%

Wide spread
7d Change

+3.0%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Nov 13, 25, 11:20 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes12%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Taiwan (Republic of China) between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Taiwanese military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Taiwan's Coast Guard Administration (CGA) is not.

Related Markets

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?

$14.4K
Yes: 1%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
China coup attempt before 2027?

China coup attempt before 2027?

$1.8K
Yes: 3%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

Will Xi meet with Takaichi by...?

$555.5
December 31: 39%PolymarketPOLYMARKET
Manifold Markets

Which country will build the first Military Space Station?

$135
USA: 45.4%Manifold MarketsMANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

Will Trump recognize Taiwan?

$1.1
Before Jan 20, 2029: 18%KalshiKALSHI
Lai Ching-te departure announced?

Lai Ching-te departure announced?

$0.8
Before July 1, 2026: 1%KalshiKALSHI

Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,654.97+1.84%EthereumETH$1,653.42+1.25%SolanaSOL$64.97+1.00%DogecoinDOGE$0.0847+1.15%XRPXRP$1.11+0.05%BNBBNB$596.01+1.56%

Related News

Bitcoin price tumbles after Trump orders military response to IranCrypto NewsChinese Man Gets 10+ Years for Stealing 107 BTC Using Memorized KeyBlockchain.NewsPentagon adds Alibaba, Baidu and BYD to China’s military-linked list Crypto NewsChina warns developers over overseas AI relay servicesCrypto NewsChina court treats Bitcoin as property in 107 BTC theft caseCrypto NewsChinese court treats Bitcoin as property in 107 BTC memory theft caseCointelegraph

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a military encounter between the military forces of China (People's Republic of China) and Taiwan (Republic of China) between November 11, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • A "military encounter" is defined as any incident involving the use of force such as missile strikes, artillery fire, exchange of gunfire, or other forms of direct military engagement between Chinese and Taiwanese military forces.
  • Non-violent actions, such as warning shots, artillery fire into uninhabited areas, or missile launches that land in territorial waters or pass through airspace, will not qualify for a "Yes" resolution.
  • Intentional ship ramming that results in significant damage to (e.g., a hole in the hull) or the sinking of a military ship by another will count toward a "Yes" resolution, however minor damage (scrapes, dents) will not.
  • Note: the China Coast Guard (CCG) is part of the military, however Taiwan's Coast Guard Administration (CGA) is not.