If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?
US PoliticsOne-OffGeopoliticsChina2yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jun 13, 2026, 2:26 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastNo 93.4%
Forecasters
60
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 45 days ago
StaleDec 10, 23, 12:03 PMFeb 1, 29, 10:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes7%
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KALSHI
KALSHIActive in these topics
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