If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term??

Manifold Markets prices No at 94.8% as of October 29, 2026.

When does If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term? resolve?

If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2029.

How is If Donald Trump wins in 2024, will a War between China and the USA have occured by the end of his 2025 term? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: War as defined by the Uppsala Conflict Data Program is "A state-based conflict or dyad which reaches at least 1000 battle-related deaths in a specific calendar year"

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