FutuurCheck availabilityVerified resolution dataCurrent implied probability
Above 10% 65%Leader of 4 outcomes
Above 10% 65%Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
$8.8K
Medium liquidityTraders
22
Comments
0
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
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Manifold MarketsRules
This event predicts the yearly net total return performance of the MSCI World Index in U.S. dollars during calendar year 2026.
- The Primary Designated Source (PDS) is MSCI Inc., using the official MSCI World Index fact sheet published at the end of 2026 and made available via MSCI’s equity fact sheet search.
- The relevant value is the annual net return percentage for the index covering the full year of 2026.
- If the MSCI fact sheet for year-end 2026 is delayed, unavailable, or unclear, the Secondary Confirmation Mechanism (SCM) will be confirmation from other official MSCI publications or a clear and consistent consensus reported by major financial data providers or news organizations citing MSCI data.
- These markets will be resolved according to the substantive index return outcome and the clear intent of the market, not minor technical or formatting differences.
- Subsequent revisions or methodological clarifications after the initial publication will not affect resolution; if no fair determination is possible, Futuur may cancel the markets with a public explanation.
