Will MSCI downgrade Indonesia to Frontier Market status by November 30?
0.5 pts (24h)One-OffEquitiesMacro & Economy1mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
No · —
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Stored reference
No 88%
No 88%Market quality
36 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$153.6
Liquidity
$368.9
Low liquidityOpen interest
$734.7
Bid / Ask
— / —
NoSpread
—
Comments
1
7d Change
-7.5 pts
Market data
Updated 26 minutes ago
Jun 26, 26, 3:29 PM UTCDec 1, 26, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · No
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Morgan Stanley Capital International (MSCI) reclassifies Indonesia as a Frontier Market at any point by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, it will resolve to “No.”
- An official MSCI announcement of reclassification will be sufficient for a ‘Yes’ resolution, even if such reclassification does not go into effect by the date listed above.
- Announcements that MSCI is considering or exploring reclassification will not be sufficient to resolve the market.
- The resolution source will be official MSCI communication or a consensus of credible reporting.