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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. US credit rating downgrade in 2026?
US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

US credit rating downgrade in 2026?

6.0% (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesYearlyMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 29%-6.0%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1.1

Liquidity

$332.1

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

30.0% / 34.0%

Spread

13.3%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 8 minutes ago

Jan 1, 26, 5:01 AMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes29%

Rules

If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,701.20+2.54%EthereumETH$1,652.18+1.98%SolanaSOL$65.22+1.86%HyperliquidHYPE$54.86-0.92%XRPXRP$1.12+0.51%DogecoinDOGE$0.0851+2.02%

Related News

Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsBitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up CointelegraphGold slips below 200-day moving average offering glimmer of hope for bitcoin bullsCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Rules

If U.S. credit is downgraded by any of the three major credit ratings agencies by December 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi