Will any agency downgrade the US government's credit rating to AA- or lower before the end of 2030?

POLYMARKET

Nobel Economics Prize Winner 2026

• Ariel Pakes-1.0pt20%
• Michael Woodford12%
• Susan Athey+1.0pt12%

+14 more outcomes

Total Vol

$86.5K

24h Vol

$5.9K

POLYMARKET

University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - October 2026

• 43.0 to 45.9+12.5pt44.5%
• 46.0 to 48.9+16.5pt44.5%
• 52.0 to 54.9-7.5pt3.6%

+4 more outcomes

KALSHI

Poland rate decision in November

• Maintain current rate+5.0ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask67%–74%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 02:28 PM UTC
• Hike 1-25bpsStored bid–ask12%–22%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 02:28 PM UTC
• Cut 1-25bps

KALSHI

Will the S&P finish positive this year?

• YesStored bid–ask93%–94%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 02:28 PM UTC
• NoStored bid–ask6%–7%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 02:28 PM UTC

Total Vol

$1.3M

24h Vol

POLYMARKET

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

• No-2.0pt73.3%
• Yes+2.0pt26.7%

Total Vol

$3.9M

24h Vol

$3.8K

KALSHI

US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?

• NoStored bid–ask90.1%–93.9%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 02:17 PM UTC
• Yes+1.5ptStored 24h historyStored bid–ask6.1%–9.9%Collected: Oct 11, 2026, 02:17 PM UTC

Total Vol

$828.6K