KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 7.36% 58%Market line of 19 lines
Above 7.36% 58%Market quality
42 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$6.1K
Open interest
$6.9K
Medium open interestMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Oct 8, 26, 4:50 PM UTCOct 15, 26, 3:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2026
KalshiWill the 30-year Mortgage Rate hit __ in 2026?
Polymarket30-year mortgage rate at the end of 2027
KalshiHow high will the 30-year mortgage rate get in 2027?
KalshiFreddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
KalshiWhen will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold MarketsRules
If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.36%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Freddie Mac
- The Underlying is the 30-Year Fixed-Rate Mortgage national average published by Freddie Mac in its Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) for Oct 15, 2026. For a standard Thursday publication, the weekly measurement period runs from 12:00 a.m. ET on the preceding Thursday through 11:59 p.m. ET on Wednesday. The resulting national average is published Thursday at 12:00 p.m. ET. This market will use Freddie Mac's first published PMMS value for the specified week. Subsequent corrections or revisions made after expiration will not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 7.34%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.34%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.36%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.36%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.40%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.40%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.42%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.42%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.56%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.56%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.54%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.54%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.44%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.44%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.48%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.48%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.52%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.52%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.50%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.50%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.60%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.60%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.62%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.62%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.64%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.64%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.58%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.58%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.68%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.68%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.70%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.70%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.66%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.66%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.38%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.38%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 7.46%
- If the average U.S. 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rate for Oct 15, 2026 is above 7.46%, then the market resolves to Yes.