Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 79%
Forecasters
31
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleMay 23, 22, 5:40 AM UTCMay 23, 27, 6:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will the 30 year mortgage interest rates fall below 5%? (United States)
Manifold Markets30-year mortgage rate this week
KalshiFreddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
KalshiWill rates hit zero in 2026?
KalshiWill Jerome Powells Sucessor cut federal interest rates to 1% or lower?
Manifold Markets30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if the 30-year fixed rate mortgage average on May 22 2027 shown on https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms is strictly greater than the current value of 5.25%.
- Here's another view of the same data: https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/MORTGAGE30US.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Mortgage rates higher in 5 years??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 79% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Mortgage rates higher in 5 years? resolve?
- Mortgage rates higher in 5 years? is scheduled to resolve on May 23, 2027.
- How is Mortgage rates higher in 5 years? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if the 30-year fixed rate mortgage average on May 22 2027 shown on https://www.freddiemac.com/pmms is strictly greater than the current value of 5.25%.