Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
Bonds & TreasuriesYearlyMacro & Economy5mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityYes 10%
Market quality
40 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$8.4K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
10.0% / 14.0%
Spread
40.0%
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 16 minutes ago
Apr 21, 26, 10:00 PMDec 31, 26, 4:55 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes10%
Volume trend
$50Jul 49d of dataJul 23
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If any Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS) release, between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, inclusive, reports that the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage average is below 5.75%, then the market resolves to Yes.