Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.
One-OffMacro & Economy1moManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.1%
Forecasters
8
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMay 3, 26, 10:10 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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FutuurRules
Primary Data Source: The market resolves based on the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS).
- Specific Metric: The "U.S. weekly average" for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM).
- Resolution Value: This market resolves to YES if the PMMS value is strictly less than 5.75% (i.e., 5.74% or lower) for any weekly release on or before the closing date.
- Official Link: Freddie Mac PMMS Archive
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.?
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026. resolve?
- Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026. is scheduled to resolve on October 31, 2026.
- How is Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026. settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Primary Data Source: The market resolves based on the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS).