Will the Fredie Mac US 30-year fixed-rate average drop below 5.75% before Nov 1, 2026.
One-OffMacro & Economy6dManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 25, 2026, 6:45 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 97.6%
Forecasters
10
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 5 minutes ago
May 3, 26, 10:10 PM UTCOct 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Freddie Mac 30Y fixed-rate mortgage average below 5.75% in 2026?
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ForecastExRules
Primary Data Source: The market resolves based on the Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey (PMMS).
- Specific Metric: The "U.S. weekly average" for the 30-year fixed-rate mortgage (FRM).
- Resolution Value: This market resolves to YES if the PMMS value is strictly less than 5.75% (i.e., 5.74% or lower) for any weekly release on or before the closing date.
- Official Link: Freddie Mac PMMS Archive
