KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 1.0% · —
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Stored price
Above 1.2% 95.5%Market line of 6 lines
Above 1.2% 95.5%Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$3
Open interest
$10K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 1.0%Spread
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Market data
Updated 40 minutes ago
Sep 14, 26, 7:00 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 1.0%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 1.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Department of the Treasury - TreasuryDirect
- The “fixed rate” refers only to the annual fixed-rate component assigned to Series I savings bonds when issued. It does not refer to the semiannual inflation rate or the composite interest rate. The reported fixed rate will be used without rounding. Subsequent revisions or corrections published after the initial official announcement will not be considered
Rules for each outcome
- Above 1.0%
- If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 1.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.8%
- If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 0.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.2%
- If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 1.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.4%
- If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 1.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.6%
- If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 1.6%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1.8%
- If the annual fixed rate for Series I savings bonds issued from November 1, 2026 through April 30, 2027, as announced by the U.S. Department of the Treasury, is above 1.8%, then the market resolves to Yes.
