KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above -0.4% · —
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Stored price
Above -0.4% 96.5%Leader of 8 outcomes
Above -0.4% 96.5%Market quality
47 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$51.3
Open interest
$51.3
Low open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above -0.4%Spread
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Market data
Updated 8 minutes ago
Oct 22, 26, 7:00 PM UTCNov 19, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above -0.4%
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above -0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:The Conference Board
- The Leading Economic Index refers to The Conference Board Leading Economic Index® (“LEI”) for the United States. This market will resolve using the month-over-month percent change for October 2026 stated in the first Conference Board release that reports the October 2026 LEI. The market will use the percent change expressly reported by The Conference Board and will not independently calculate the change from index levels. Subsequent revisions will not affect settlement. This market does not refer to the LEI index level, its six-month change or diffusion index, the Coincident Economic Index, or the Lagging Economic Index.
Rules for each outcome
- Above -0.4%
- If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above -0.4%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -0.3%
- If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above -0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.0%
- If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above 0.0%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -0.2%
- If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above -0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above -0.1%
- If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above -0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.1%
- If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above 0.1%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.2%
- If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above 0.2%, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 0.3%
- If the MoM percent change in The Conference Board Leading Economic Index for the U.S. for October 2026 is above 0.3%, then the market resolves to Yes.