Will the dollar lose its leading reserve currency status by 2040?
One-OffForeign ExchangeMacro & Economy12yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 56.1%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingApr 2, 24, 1:28 PM UTCAug 1, 39, 9:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsWill the US Dollar lose Reserve Currency status before 2040?
Manifold MarketsUS Leading Economic Index change in October
KalshiAnnual Return: DXY vs. Gold
KalshiRules
Resolved as „Yes”, if at any point before 2040 the dollar represents less foreign reserve holdings than some other currency.
- Currently, the dollar represents 58% of foreign reserve holdings worldwide, while the euro, second most used currency, 21%.
