Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?
1.0% (24h)BitcoinOne-OffAdoptionUS Politics6mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeCurrent implied probabilityYes 24%+1.0%
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$7.1
Liquidity
$506.6
Low liquidityBid / Ask
23.0% / 24.0%
Spread
4.3%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 1 minute ago
Dec 23, 25, 3:00 PMJan 1, 27, 3:00 PM
Selected outcome
Yes24%
Also available on Limitless
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
6mo
26%
74%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.4K
24h Vol$0
LIMITLESS
Also available on Polymarket
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
6mo
26%
75%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$42.8K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
If Donald Trump has issued an executive order or his Administration takes an executive action (including signing a bill into law) creating a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” “National Bitcoin Reserve,” or any other formal government-held stockpile of Bitcoin after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For example, if the U.S. government established a program or body that is equivalent to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for Bitcoin, or the United States Bullion Depository for Bitcoin, or if Bitcoin was held in the reserves of the U.S.
- Department of the Treasury like its foreign exchange and SDR holdings, then the Payout Criterion would be fulfilled.
- This would not include merely Bitcoin confiscated pursuant to criminal or civil enforcement proceedings.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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If Donald Trump has issued an executive order or his Administration takes an executive action (including signing a bill into law) creating a “Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” “National Bitcoin Reserve,” or any other formal government-held stockpile of Bitcoin after Issuance and before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- For example, if the U.S. government established a program or body that is equivalent to the Strategic Petroleum Reserve for Bitcoin, or the United States Bullion Depository for Bitcoin, or if Bitcoin was held in the reserves of the U.S.
- Department of the Treasury like its foreign exchange and SDR holdings, then the Payout Criterion would be fulfilled.
- This would not include merely Bitcoin confiscated pursuant to criminal or civil enforcement proceedings.