Adoption
55 markets tracked all-time for Adoption, settled ones included. A market can appear under several topics.
Open Markets
51
Total Volume
$282,087
24h Volume
$264
Total Liquidity
$81,551
Finance AI adoption in September
1mo
88%
0%
0%
+6 more outcomes
Low quality (29)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$200
24h Vol$200
KALSHI
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
3.0 pt (24h)3mo
91%
+3.0pt9%
Related Cryptos
Medium quality (64)Moderate spreadHigh liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$185.6K
24h Vol$13
KALSHI
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
3mo
94.1%
5.9%
Related Cryptos
CoinRithm referenceNo94%· 5 pt venue spread
Medium quality (60)Moderate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$61K
24h Vol$1.3
POLYMARKET
Over 30M humans verified on World Network by December 31?
3mo
98%
2%
Low quality (≤49)Moderate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$21K
24h Vol—
POLYMARKET
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
3mo
89.2%
10.8%
Related Cryptos
CoinRithm referenceNo94%· 5 pt venue spread
Low quality (30)Spread unknownLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol$8.3K
24h Vol—
LIMITLESS
Will Brazil constitute a strategic Bitcoin reserve by the end of 2026?
3mo
89%
11%
Related Cryptos
Low quality (30)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$386.8
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
Healthcare AI adoption in September
1mo
87%
0%
0%
+4 more outcomes
Low quality (25)Wide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$50
24h Vol$50
KALSHIWorldcoin signups > 30 million people by the end of 2026?
3mo
93%
7%
Low quality (32)Spread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$122.6
24h Vol—
FUTUUR
xAI corporate adoption rate in September
1mo
0%
0%
0%
+4 more outcomes
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
KALSHI
Manufacturing AI adoption in September
1mo
0%
0%
0%
+4 more outcomes
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
KALSHI
Tech sector AI adoption in September
1mo
0%
0%
0%
+4 more outcomes
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
KALSHI
Ramp AI Index adoption rate in September
1mo
0%
0%
0%
+4 more outcomes
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
KALSHI
Hospitality AI adoption in September
1mo
0%
0%
0%
+3 more outcomes
Low quality (24)Wide spreadLiquidity unknownThin market
Total Vol—
24h Vol—
KALSHI
When will it be possible to order a drink with "precision fermentation" derived "milk" at Starbucks?
4y
65%
58.9%
58%
+4 more outcomes
Community forecast14 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Manifold have a mana purchase goal meter?
20d
84.6%
15.4%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Matt Levine create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
1y
72.3%
27.7%
Community forecast30 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill at least 1% of new car sales be flying cars by 2040?
14y
84.2%
15.8%
Community forecast32 forecastersType: binary
5 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will data centres consume more than 10% of global electricity usage for the year 2030?
4y
52%
48%
Community forecast23 forecastersType: binary
5 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Linux Desktop surpasses >10% marketshare before >10% of US population use VR daily.
3y
57.9%
42.1%
Community forecast24 forecastersType: binary
5 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 50% of US commuters travel via autonomous vehicles by 2030?
3y
88.9%
11.1%
Community forecast20 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will cryptocurrency and web3 be mainstream by 2032?
6y
85.9%
14.1%
Community forecast13 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSPolymarket exceeds $10B monthly trading volume in Dec 2027?
1y
61.1%
38.9%
Related Cryptos
Community forecast6 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Cursor report 10M monthly active users before Jan 1, 2027?
3mo
81%
19%
Community forecast1 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Brazil adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
4y
97.2%
2.8%
Related Cryptos
Community forecast18 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
US solar capacity doubles over 2025-2030?
3y
53.7%
46.3%
Community forecast21 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Argentina adopt Bitcoin as an official currency before 2028
1y
80%
20%
Related Cryptos
Community forecast33 forecastersType: binary
10 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2026?
6mo
75%
25%
Community forecast5 forecastersType: binary
12 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2027?
1y
50%
50%
Community forecast4 forecastersType: binary
12 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2028?
2y
53.6%
46.4%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
12 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
What percentage of new vehicle registrations in Canada will be plug in electric by the end of 2029?
3y
59.9%
40.1%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
12 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will a major social media platform implement privacy-preserving proof of personhood by 2030?
3y
55%
45%
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
14 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will space tourism become mainstream by 2027?
1y
89.5%
10.5%
Community forecast50 forecastersType: binary
16 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Germany have 15Mio electric vehicles by 2030?
3y
96.4%
3.6%
Community forecast27 forecastersType: binary
17 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill cryptocurrencies replace fiat money before 2040?
13y
79.1%
20.9%
Related Cryptos
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
17 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill electric vehicles account for a majority of new light vehicles purchased in the United States by 2030?
3y
73.2%
26.8%
Community forecast72 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Tim Urban create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
1y
80%
20%
Community forecast13 forecastersType: binary
14 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Vox create a market on Manifold by end of 2027?
1y
69.5%
30.5%
Community forecast17 forecastersType: binary
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill Uruguay adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
4y
83%
17%
Related Cryptos
Community forecast18 forecastersType: binary
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWhich of these people will speak at Voliti Co’s Predict 2026 (predict2026.org)?
3mo
91.3%
81.4%
46.9%
+3 more outcomes
Community forecast13 forecastersType: multiple choice
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will Wikipedia accept prediction markets as a source before 2030?
3y
51.7%
48.3%
Community forecast74 forecastersType: binary
1 hour agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Next country to adopt Bitcoin as a legal tender
3mo
29.2%
9.7%
7.1%
+10 more outcomes
Related Cryptos
Community forecast15 forecastersType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill any manufacturer ship 1 GW or more of perovskite solar modules in a single calendar year by December 31, 2028?
2y
57.6%
42.4%
Community forecast3 forecastersType: binary
2 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I get someone IRL to follow me onto Manifold Markets between today and 10/30/26?
1mo
65.3%
34.7%
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
12 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030?
4y
52.8%
47.2%
Community forecast324 forecastersType: binary
5 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill I bring someone onto Manifold Markets who creates 100 questions by August 28, 2028 (8/28/28)?
1y
72.4%
27.6%
Community forecast6 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill my friend S successfully run a market on manifold?
3mo
78%
22%
Community forecast10 forecastersType: binary
8 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will 3 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
4y
57.6%
42.4%
Related Cryptos
Community forecast39 forecastersType: binary
7 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill 2 or more new countries adopt Bitcoin as its legal tender by 2030?
4y
54.9%
45.1%
Related Cryptos
Community forecast33 forecastersType: binary
17 hours agoMANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS