What are the current odds for How long will my career be??

Manifold Markets prices 2036-2045 at 13% as of October 18, 2026.

When does How long will my career be? resolve?

How long will my career be? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2100.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

2036-2045 13%

Leader of 8 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 6 hours ago

Stale

Mar 16, 26, 4:47 AM UTCJan 2, 00, 4:59 AM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Resolves to the date where I stop working because my job has been completely automated and don't find another job within 1.5 years.

If I have the skillset to be employed, but am not because supply >> demand, then this doesn't resolve.
If I am not automated by 2100, or if I retire having worked my whole career, this resolves no.
I am a class of 2026 math and CS graduate from a top 25 uni globally.
My uni has one of the best AI programs in the world.
I currently have two job offers, one to work in AI safety and one in quant trading.