If Manifold gives me a $100,000 advertising budget, will Manifold's MAUs double within a year?
One-OffBusiness & CorporateAdoption3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 57.3%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingOct 22, 23, 9:35 PM UTCJan 2, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Specifcally, the comparison is MAU's at the time of the grant compared to MAU's exactly 1 year later.
- I made the title about me because I want this to reflect "people with opinions similar to mine about the correct growth strategy for Manifold to take".
- In practice I'd be asking for advice from several other users and it'd be more of a grassroots activity than a solo one.
- If Manifold provides such a grant to a group of users that includes me, I'll count that as satisfying the condition.
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/IsaacKing/if-manifold-does-not-give-me-a-1000)
