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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bitcoin
  3. US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

BitcoinOne-OffAdoption6mo
LimitlessLimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYC
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 26%
Market quality

28 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$0

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

-

Market data

Updated 3 minutes ago

Jan 8, 26, 4:06 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes26%

PolymarketAlso available on Polymarket

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

6mo
Yes
Yes
26%
No
No
75%
40 • Low qualityWide spreadMedium liquidityHigh ambiguity
Total Vol$42.8K
24h Vol$0
PolymarketPOLYMARKET

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?

1.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
+1.0%24%
No
No
76%
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.4K
24h Vol$7.1
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.

    The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Limitless
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

    Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.

    The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.