Current implied probability
No 82.5%
Market quality
30 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$0
Liquidity
$0
Low liquidityBid / Ask
-
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Jan 8, 26, 4:06 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes18%
Compare venues· No
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume
Also available on Polymarket
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
5mo
82.2%
17.8%
49 • Low qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$49.2K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKET
Also available on Kalshi
Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve in 2026?
5.0 pts5mo
83%
-5.0pt17%
70 • Medium qualityTight spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$168K
24h Vol$53.5
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$0.00Jul 622d of dataJul 27
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.