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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bitcoin
  3. US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?
US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

0.5% (24h)BitcoinOne-OffAdoption6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 26%+0.0%
Market quality

40 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$8.5K

Medium liquidity
Bid / Ask

23.0% / 28.0%

Spread

21.7%

Wide spread
Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 4:20 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes26%

LimitlessAlso available on Limitless

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

US national Bitcoin reserve before 2027?

6mo
Yes
Yes
26%
No
No
74%
28 • Low qualitySpread unknownLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$4.4K
24h Vol$0
LimitlessLIMITLESS

KalshiAlso available on Kalshi

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?

Will Trump create a National Bitcoin Reserve before 2027?

1.0%6mo
Yes
Yes
+1.0%24%
No
No
76%
44 • Low qualityModerate spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$1.4K
24h Vol$7.1
KalshiKALSHI

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.

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Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.