Current implied probability
No 94.1%
Market quality
60 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.3
Liquidity
$18.5K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
4.0% / 7.0%
Spread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadComments
1
7d Change
-2.5 pts
Market data
Updated 1 minute ago
Nov 5, 25, 4:17 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US government holds any amount of Bitcoin in its reserves at any point by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Note that the US government confiscating Bitcoin does not count as holding Bitcoin reserves.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the US government and/or the US federal reserve, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's liquidity-weighted reference probability for CoinRithm reference is 6%. Quotes span about 5 percentage points between the widest venues.
CoinRithm reference 6% · 2 venues · 5 pt venue spread