Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 52.8%
Forecasters
324
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleApr 21, 23, 8:36 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the majority of new cars sold be electric vehicles by the end of 2030?
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This question will resolve as YES if more than 50% of new cars sold worldwide in the year 2030 are electric.
- The source for determining the percentage of electric cars sold will be the International Energy Agency (IEA) annual report on electric vehicles.
- The report will be released in 2031 and will provide data on the percentage of electric cars sold in 2030.
- This question does not include hybrid cars, only fully electric cars.
- The question does not consider any potential changes in regulations or government policies that may affect the sales of electric cars.
- This question does not consider any potential changes in consumer behavior or technology development that may affect the sales of electric cars.
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 53% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030? resolve?
- Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2030.
- How is Will the majority of new cars sold worldwide be electric before the end of 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: This question will resolve as YES if more than 50% of new cars sold worldwide in the year 2030 are electric.