What are the current odds for In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel??

Manifold Markets prices 2042-2047 at 19.6% as of October 18, 2026.

In what year will private air travel surpass public air travel?

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

2042-2047 19.6%

Leader of 6 outcomes

Forecasters

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

7d Change

0.0 pts

Market data

Updated 5 hours ago

Stale

Sep 20, 25, 2:07 AM UTCDec 31, 50, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Presumably when flying cars / drones get good enough, more and more people will start flying to their destination.

Likely to local destinations at first but later to global destinations.
Public: all flights on aircraft where strangers buy tickets and travel together.
Private: like a taxi.
Hired for yourself or your group.