What are the current odds for Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036??

Manifold Markets prices No at 52.5% as of October 18, 2026.

How is Will global IPv6 adoption reach 95% before 2036? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Could be 95% of all traffic, or 95% of all websites, or another similar statistic.

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 52.5%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 12 hours ago

Stale

Jul 2, 25, 8:34 PM UTCJan 1, 36, 11:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

Could be 95% of all traffic, or 95% of all websites, or another similar statistic.

I'll accept any metric that seems reasonably describable as "95% of the internet uses IPv6".
If at least one such metric crosses 95% and I trust that it's accurate, this resolves YES.
(Simply supporting IPv6 is not sufficient, it needs to be used.)