KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 283M 6%Market line of 12 lines
Above 283M 6%Market quality
35 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Open interest
$1.2K
Low open interestSpread
38.0 pt
Wide spreadMarket data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Oct 7, 26, 3:30 PM UTCOct 14, 26, 2:29 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 3, 2026
KalshiWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.875% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill the EU Deposit Facilities Rate be set above 2.65% at the meeting of the Governing Council of the European Central Bank ending October, 29, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 3.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
ForecastExWill the US Fed Funds Target Rate be set above 4.125% at the FOMC meeting ending October 28, 2026?
ForecastExHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiRules
If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 283 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Energy Information Administration
- This market resolves based on the Weekly Petroleum Status Report for the relevant week, released on Wednesday morning following the stated week-ending date, using the value on Table 1 of the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet, row “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)”, under the Current Week column.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 281M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 281 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 276M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 276 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 277M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 277 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 278M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 278 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 279M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 279 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 280M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 280 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 283M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 283 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 284M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 284 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 285M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 285 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 286M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 286 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 287M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 287 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 282M
- If the “Strategic Petroleum Reserve (SPR)” value in the U.S. Petroleum Balance Sheet for the week ending October 9, 2026 is above 282 million barrels, then the market resolves to Yes.
