KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
4,300 or above · —
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Stored price
4,300 or above 31.5%Market line of 13 lines
4,300 or above 31.5%Market quality
63 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.8K
Open interest
$164.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
4,300 or aboveSpread
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Market data
Updated 28 minutes ago
May 30, 26, 2:00 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 10:00 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 1h (informational)
Market depth · 4,300 or above
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Pyth - Gold
Rules for each outcome
- 4,300 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4,400 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4400 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4,500 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4500 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4,700 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4700 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4,800 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4800 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4,600 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4600 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5,000 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5000 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 4,900 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 4900 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5,100 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5100 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5,300 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5300 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5,500 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5500 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5,200 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5200 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
- 5,400 or above
- If the close price of the 1-minute candlestick for Gold on December 31, 2026 at 05:00 PM EST is above 5400 USD/t.oz, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Manifold Markets — Gold price at year end? · 4,300 or above 39%
