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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Commodities
  3. How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?

3.0% (24h)CommoditiesYearlyMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiKalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% fee
Current implied probability
Above $1000
Above $1000 44%+3.0%
Leader of 8 outcomes
Market quality

49 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$1

Liquidity

$209.4

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

43.0% / 44.0%

Spread

2.3%

Tight spread
Market data

Updated 4 minutes ago

Mar 20, 26, 6:30 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Above $100044%

Rules

If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $900 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1000 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1100 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1200 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1300 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1400 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

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How low will gas prices in Texas get this year?

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Active in these topics

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Rules

If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $900 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Kalshi
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1000 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1100 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1200 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1300 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
  • If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1400 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.