How high will the price of fertilizer get this year?
3.0 pts (24h)CommoditiesYearlyMacro & Economy2mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $1000 13%+3.0ptMarket line of 7 lines
Above $1000 13%+3.0ptMarket quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$5.9K
Open interest
$28.3K
High open interestSpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 17 minutes ago
Mar 20, 26, 6:30 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceed -5% in May 2027?
ForecastExWill the year over year change in prices paid by farmers for fertilizer exceed -15% in May 2027?
ForecastExUS SPR level for the week ending October 9, 2026
KalshiHow high will US gas prices get in 2026?
KalshiRules
If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1000 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:USDA
Rules for each outcome
- Above $1000
- If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1000 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1100
- If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1100 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1200
- If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1200 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1400
- If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1400 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1300
- If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1300 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1500
- If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1500 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $1600
- If the average price of Urea (46-0-0) fertilizer in dollars per ton according to the United States Department of Agriculture’s Illinois Production Cost Reports is above $1600 after Issuance and before January 01, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
