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  1. Prediction Markets
  2. Bonds & Treasuries
  3. Another US debt downgrade before 2027?
Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

Another US debt downgrade before 2027?

0.5% (24h)Bonds & TreasuriesYearlyMacro & Economy6mo
PolymarketPolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% fee
Current implied probability
Yes
Yes 28%
Market quality

24 / 100

Low quality
24h Volume

$0

Liquidity

$985.6

Low liquidity
Bid / Ask

13.0% / 43.0%

Spread

230.8%

Wide spread
7d Change

+8.0%

Market data

Updated 5 minutes ago

Nov 5, 25, 8:00 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Selected outcome

Yes28%

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

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Active in these topics

BitcoinBTC$62,676.43+1.63%EthereumETH$1,655.09+1.13%SolanaSOL$65.02+0.81%HyperliquidHYPE$55.80+0.65%XRPXRP$1.12-0.15%DogecoinDOGE$0.0849+1.03%

Related News

Wall Street abandons rate-cut hopes ahead of Kevin Warsh’s first FOMCCrypto NewsBitcoin may act as a ‘canary in the coal mine’ as risk-off pressure spreads: BitwiseCointelegraphCan the Bank of Japan’s 1% rate hike spark another crypto selloff?Crypto NewsBitcoin price $60K support not yet safe as more macro headwinds stack up CointelegraphGold slips below 200-day moving average offering glimmer of hope for bitcoin bullsCoindeskU.S. inflation, European Central Bank rate decision: Crypto Week AheadCoindesk

Rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States' long-term sovereign credit letter rating is downgraded by any of the three major credit rating agencies (S&P, Moody's, Fitch) at any point by December 31, 2026 11:59pm ET.

Polymarket
  • Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
  • The resolution source for this market will be official information from Standard & Poor's, Moody's, or Fitch, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.