Manifold MarketsNo KYCCurrent community forecast2023 1.1%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 16 days ago
StaleSep 29, 23, 9:17 AMMay 7, 30, 4:59 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
20231%
Related Markets
US defaults on debt by 2027?
$0Yes: 3%
POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
U.S. federal deficit-to-GDP below 5% for FY2026?
$320.3Yes: 8%
KALSHI
KALSHI
Will the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026?
$113.2Yes: 29%FUTUUR
FUTUUR
US defaults before 2027?
$0Yes: 4%KALSHI
KALSHI30 year interest rates greater than 7.5% by EOY 2028
$0Yes: 30%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Will South Korea issue at least ₩16T in KTBs in August 2026?
$0Yes: 60%
LIMITLESS
LIMITLESSActive in these topics
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