Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2040 and later 53.4%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
16
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleSep 29, 23, 9:17 AM UTCMay 7, 30, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Is the sovereign debt bubble mostly done bursting yet?
Manifold MarketsWill the us default on its Sovereign debt before the current President leaves office?
Manifold MarketsWill the US' sovereign credit rating be downgraded again by Fitch, Moody's or S&P by the end of 2026?
FutuurWill the US Sovereign Wealth Fund Hold Bitcoin?
Manifold MarketsWill the US sovereign wealth fund invest in Blackstone or TPG by 2028?
Manifold MarketsUS defaults on debt by 2027?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
