Housing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
18.0 pts (24h)One-OffBusiness & CorporateMacro & Economy6mo
KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 1,600 units · —
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
Stored price
Above 1,800 units Stored bid–ask51%–52%Collected: Last trade: 51% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market line of 11 lines
Above 1,800 units Stored bid–ask51%–52%Collected: Last trade: 51% · Trade time unknownPrices are percentages of payout, before fees; these stored observations are not executable quotes.Market quality
68 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$3.4K
Open interest
$24.2K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 1,600 unitsSpread
—
Market data
Updated 18 minutes ago
Aug 21, 26, 10:00 PM UTCMay 3, 27, 11:54 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 1,600 units
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Book received (not venue quote time): —
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,800 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Census Bureau
- The Underlying is the total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont, across all structure types. Resolution will use the first finalized annual 2026 figure published by the U.S. Census Bureau. Preliminary monthly and year-to-date estimates will not determine the market.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 1,600 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,600 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,700 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,700 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,800 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,800 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 1,900 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 1,900 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2,000 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,000 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2,100 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,100 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2,200 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,200 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2,300 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,300 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2,400 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,400 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2,600 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,600 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 2,500 units
- If the number of privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Vermont in calendar year 2026 is strictly above 2,500 units, then the market resolves to Yes.
