KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 100,000 · —
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Stored price
Above 110,000 60.5%Market line of 6 lines
Above 110,000 60.5%Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$500
Open interest
$20.6K
Medium open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 100,000Spread
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Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 3:00 AM UTCJan 27, 27, 12:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 100,000
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Colorado permitted housing units in 2026
KalshiWill Dubai (city proper) complete at least 60,000 housing units throughout 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
KalshiWill California authorize more housing units in 2026 than 2025?
Manifold MarketsBozeman-area housing units authorized in 2026
KalshiHousing units authorized in Vermont in 2026
KalshiRules
If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 110,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Census Bureau
- The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of housing units authorized, not the number of permit documents issued. It includes units in single-family and multifamily structures. Resolution uses the first U.S. Census Bureau state-level release containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 100,000
- If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 100,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 105,000
- If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 105,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 110,000
- If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 110,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 115,000
- If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 115,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 120,000
- If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 120,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 125,000
- If California’s total number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in calendar year 2026 is above 125,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
