KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Above 30,000 · —
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Stored price
Above 30,000 61%Market line of 5 lines
Above 30,000 61%Market quality
69 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$9.3K
Open interest
$41.9K
High open interestBid / Ask
— / —
Above 30,000Spread
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Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Aug 19, 26, 3:00 AM UTCJan 27, 27, 12:59 PM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Market depth · Above 30,000
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Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
California permitted housing units in 2026
KalshiWill Dubai (city proper) complete at least 60,000 housing units throughout 2026?
Manifold MarketsHow many new housing units will NYC permit in 2026?
KalshiWill California authorize more housing units in 2026 than 2025?
Manifold Markets(M1000 Subsidy) UK builds 300,000 housing units in any year before 2030
Manifold MarketsHow many housing units will California authorize, 2025-2028? (linear, 250k-750k)
Manifold MarketsRules
If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 30,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Census Bureau
- The Underlying is the calendar-year total number of new privately owned residential housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado. This counts housing units authorized, not the number of permit documents issued. It includes units in 1-unit, 2-unit, 3-unit, 4-unit, and 5-or-more-unit structures. Resolution uses the first U.S. Census Bureau state-level release containing complete January–December 2026 data; subsequent revisions do not affect resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above 30,000
- If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 30,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 32,000
- If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 32,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 34,000
- If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 34,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 36,000
- If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 36,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above 38,000
- If U.S. Census Bureau reports that the number of new privately owned housing units authorized by building permits in Colorado in 2026 is above 38,000, then the market resolves to Yes.
