Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsBusiness & Corporate2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Unusual Machines 42%Leader of 20 outcomes
Unusual Machines 42%Market quality
49 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$212.9
Liquidity
$6.9K
Medium liquiditySpread
5.0 pt
Wide spreadComments
3
7d Change
+5.5 pts
Market data
Updated 29 minutes ago
Feb 3, 26, 3:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
GlobalFoundriesWon
D-WaveWon
RigettiWon
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
- Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
- Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
- An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? · Rigetti Computing 97%