Which companies will the US take a stake in?
2.5% (24h)Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsBusiness & Corporate5mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityGlobalFoundries 78%+0.3%Leader of 20 outcomes
Market quality
64 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.9K
Liquidity
$25.7K
High liquidityBid / Ask
14.0% / 16.0%
Spread
14.3%
Wide spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 7 minutes ago
Feb 3, 26, 3:40 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
GlobalFoundries78%
Compare venues· GlobalFoundries
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiBest overall62% match · verified | Medium | 71% | 0pt | $2.9K | $289.4K | 27 minutes ago | Open → |
| PolymarketThis page | Medium | 78% | +7pt | $1.9K | $25.7K | 7 minutes ago |
Also available on Kalshi
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
2.0%5mo
+15.0%89%
+9.0%85%
+11.0%74%
+18 more outcomes
64 • Medium qualityWide spreadHigh liquidity
Total Vol$1M
24h Vol$2.9K
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
- Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
- Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
- An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$1.9kJul 225d of dataJul 26
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
- Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
- Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
- An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.