PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probabilityRigetti 79%Leader of 18 outcomes
Market quality
44 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$70.5
Liquidity
$11.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
19.0% / 52.0%
Spread
173.7%
Wide spread7d Change
+16.0%
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Feb 3, 26, 3:43 PMDec 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
Selected outcome
Rigetti79%
Also available on Kalshi
Which companies will the US take a stake in this year?
5.0%6mo
+5.0%38%
+8.0%32%
+2.0%33%
+18 more outcomes
79 • High qualityTight spreadMedium liquidity
Total Vol$8.8K
24h Vol$285.5
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
- Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
- Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
- An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
- Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
- Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
- An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.