Which companies will the US take a stake in?
Corporate ActionsOne-OffUS PoliticsBusiness & Corporate2mo
PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedSelected book midpoint
Unusual Machines · —
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Stored reference
Unusual Machines 29%Leader of 20 outcomes
Unusual Machines 29%Market quality
62 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$942.1
Liquidity
$15.1K
Medium liquidityOpen interest
$27.2K
Bid / Ask
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Unusual MachinesSpread
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Comments
3
7d Change
-11.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Feb 3, 26, 3:40 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Chart and changes show stored historical probabilities, not the selected live book.
Trends
Selected row: book midpoint. Other rows: stored references, possibly normalized; 24h changes use stored history.
D-WaveWon
GlobalFoundriesWon
RigettiWon
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Top holders
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Market depth · Unusual Machines
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KalshiRules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the U.S. federal government takes a stake in the listed company by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Takes a stake refers to the U.S. federal government acquiring direct equity ownership, voting shares, convertible rights treated as equity, or equivalent ownership interests in the listed company or of a legal vehicle that primarily owns the listed company.
- Stakes acquired through independent entities entirely controlled or owned by the U.S. federal government (e.g. a sovereign wealth fund, state-owned enterprise, etc.) will count.
- Non-equity financial instruments or stakes acquired by private persons or entities not owned or controlled by the US federal government will not count; acquisitions by by states, pensions, index or mutual funds, or consortia will not qualify.
- An official US federal government announcement of a completed qualifying acquisition, or of a binding agreement to complete a qualifying acquisition, within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Kalshi — Which companies will the US take a stake in this year? · Rigetti Computing 97%