PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeCurrent implied probability
Morgan Stanley 38%+0.5%Leader of 19 outcomes
Market quality
80 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$577.6
Liquidity
$38.6K
High liquidityBid / Ask
37.0% / 39.0%
Spread
5.4%
Moderate spread7d Change
-1.0%
Market data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Jun 1, 26, 9:26 PMDec 31, 27, 11:55 PM
Trends
Selected outcome
Morgan Stanley38%
Also available on Kalshi
Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO?
1.0%1y
+1.0%59%
-1.0%48%
2%
+3 more outcomes
28 • Low qualityWide spreadLow liquidityThin market
Total Vol$17.8
24h Vol$1.5
KALSHIRules
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
- If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter.
- If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
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This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
- If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
- If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter.
- If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.