LimitlessCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Morgan Stanley 86.8%Leader of 9 outcomes
Morgan Stanley 86.8%Market quality
22 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
—
Liquidity
—
Liquidity unknownMarket data
Updated 2 minutes ago
Sep 30, 26, 1:27 PM UTCJan 1, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Lead Bank in OpenAI's IPO?
PolymarketAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWhat will Anthropic's IPO valuation be?
PolymarketWhen exactly will Anthropic IPO?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
LimitlessAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)
Manifold MarketsRules
the named outcome · the named outcome · JPMorgan · the named outcome · Citigroup · Barclays · UBS · the named outcome · the named outcome.
This market will resolve according to the bank that serves as the lead underwriter in the initial public offering of Anthropic.
If no IPO occurs by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or Anthropic completes an initial public offering without a designated lead underwriter, this market will resolve to “Other.”
If multiple banks are identified as lead underwriters, this market will resolve according to the primary lead underwriter.
- If the hierarchy between them is unclear, this market will resolve once it is conclusively evident which bank is the primary lead underwriter, for example, through the order in which the banks are listed in the underwriting section of Anthropic’s final initial public offering prospectus, once released.
The primary resolution source for this market will be official disclosures from Anthropic.
- A consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Prediction Source Comparison
2 venues currently price this market. CoinRithm's cross-venue reference probability for Morgan Stanley is 88%. The venue spread is about 1 percentage point.
CoinRithm reference Morgan Stanley 88% · 2 venues · 1 pt venue spread
- Also available on Polymarket — Lead Bank in Anthropic's IPO? · Morgan Stanley 88%
- Also available on Kalshi — Which bank will lead Anthropic's IPO? · Morgan Stanley 85%
