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At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)

EquitiesOne-OffAI Corporate Actions Business & Corporate1y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibrated

Current community forecast

< $1.0 trillion 13.3%+0.5%

Leader of 7 outcomes

Forecasters

10

Question type

multiple choice

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 22 minutes ago

Jul 24, 26, 7:53 PMDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

< $1.0 trillion13%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

Anthropic is reported to be considering an IPO as early as 2026.

This market resolves to the market cap of Anthropic at its listing price.
There are already many of these markets but most tended to have buckets like $1.3-2.1T and $800B-$1.6 T.
Those buckets are sitting upwards of 50%, so I made this market to get better data.
(Note that on the day of the IPO the stock may close at a higher or lower price depending on how the market reacts.
But we will use the original listing price for the purposes of this question.)

Volume trend

$94

Jul 243d of dataJul 26

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Rules

Anthropic is reported to be considering an IPO as early as 2026.

This market resolves to the market cap of Anthropic at its listing price.
There are already many of these markets but most tended to have buckets like $1.3-2.1T and $800B-$1.6 T.
Those buckets are sitting upwards of 50%, so I made this market to get better data.
(Note that on the day of the IPO the stock may close at a higher or lower price depending on how the market reacts.
But we will use the original listing price for the purposes of this question.)