At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)
EquitiesOne-OffAICorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate1yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast> $2.0 trillion 58.2%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
18
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleJul 24, 26, 7:53 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Anthropic is reported to be considering an IPO as early as 2026.
- This market resolves to the market cap of Anthropic at its listing price.
- There are already many of these markets but most tended to have buckets like $1.3-2.1T and $800B-$1.6 T. Those buckets are sitting upwards of 50%, so I made this market to get better data.
- (Note that on the day of the IPO the stock may close at a higher or lower price depending on how the market reacts.
- But we will use the original listing price for the purposes of this question.)
- See also: - When will Anthropic IPO? - What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? - Anthropic 2026 peak valuation - Anthropic 2027 peak valuation - Anthropic 2028 peak valuation
Open markets
EquitiesPOLYMARKETLargest Company end of December 2026?
- NVIDIA-1.0pt79%
- Apple-0.6pt13%
- Alphabet7%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.9M
- 24h Vol
- $105.9K
KALSHIS&P close price end of 2026?
- 7,800 to 7,999.9916.2%
- 8,000 to 8,199.99+1.0pt15.2%
- 7,600 to 7,799.9910.5%
+24 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $6.5M
- 24h Vol
KALSHINasdaq-100 price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- 29,070 or above90%
- 29,080 or above90%
- 29,090 or above90%
+97 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $36.4K
- 24h Vol
- $36.4K
POLYMARKETS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on September 9?
- Down79%
- Up21%
- Total Vol
- $32.1K
- 24h Vol
- $31.9K
KALSHINasdaq-100 close price end of 2026?
- 33,000.01 or above+4.0pt17.5%
- 30,500 to 30,999.99-1.0pt6.8%
- 31,000 to 31,499.99+1.0pt6.8%
+27 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- $2.25–$2.5T+8.0pt26.2%
- $2.0–$2.25T-1.1pt21.4%
- $1.75–$2.0T-1.0pt18.4%
+7 more outcomes
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 4pm EDT?
- SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 9?
- STRC hits $100 by…
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
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- What will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit Week of September 7 2026?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap (Middle Brackets)
- S&P 500 Daily Up/Down
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- Will the S&P finish positive this year?
- S&P price on Sep 9, 2026 at 10am EDT?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T)?
- Manifold Markets prices > $2.0 trillion at 58% as of September 9, 2026.
- When does At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T) resolve?
- At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T) is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2027.
- How is At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $1-2T) settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Anthropic is reported to be considering an IPO as early as 2026.