At what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (buckets within $2-3T)
EquitiesOne-OffAICorporate ActionsBusiness & Corporate2mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast< $2.0 trillion 80.6%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
15
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+2.0 pts
Market data
Updated 24 minutes ago
Aug 23, 26, 6:42 PM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
Anthropic is reported to be considering an IPO as early as 2026.
- This market resolves to the market cap of Anthropic at its listing price.
- There are already many of these markets but most tended to have buckets like $1.3-2.1T and $800B-$1.6 T. Those buckets are sitting upwards of 50%, so I made this market to get better data.
- (Note that on the day of the IPO the stock may close at a higher or lower price depending on how the market reacts.
- But we will use the original listing price for the purposes of this question.)
- - @/JoeandSeth/at-what-valuation-will-anthropic-ip - When will Anthropic IPO? - What will be the valuation of Anthropic in 2026? - Anthropic 2026 peak valuation - Anthropic 2027 peak valuation - Anthropic 2028 peak valuation