Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastDecember 31 11.59pm ET 77.1%+7.1ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Forecasters
53
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
-9.5 pts
Market data
Updated 6 minutes ago
Jun 2, 26, 8:38 PM UTCDec 30, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
KalshiWhat Month in 2026 Will Anthropic IPO in?
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO in October?
Manifold MarketsAt what valuation will Anthropic IPO? (M1000 subsidy)
Manifold MarketsAnthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
PolymarketWill OpenAI or Anthropic IPO first?
KalshiRules
Resolves yes if Anthropic has IPO’d and has shares listed on a public stock exchange available for purchase by the date listed.
Prediction Source Comparison
- Also available on Limitless — Anthropic IPO by __? · December 31, 2026 79%
- Also available on Polymarket — Anthropic IPO by __? · December 31, 79%
Open markets
AIKALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+0.7pt68.6%
- ChatGPT+2.9pt15.2%
- Gemini-1.3pt9.5%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $11.7M
- 24h Vol
- $144.2K
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+9.0pt78%
- December 15,+10.0pt75%
- November 30,+4.0pt54%
+7 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNext Claude Opus released on?
- September 21+36.2pt72.6%
- September 22-17.6pt10.5%
- No release by September 30-8.4pt4.2%
+13 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 202791%
- Before Mar 1, 2027+1.0pt89%
- Before Feb 1, 2027-1.0pt82%
+9 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $2.2M
KALSHIBest AI this week
- Claude92.5%
- ChatGPT0.9%
- Amazon Nova0.9%
+6 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $184.4K
- 24h Vol
- $29K
POLYMARKETWill OpenAI launch a consumer hardware product by which date?
- December-13.0pt28%
- October-14.0pt7%
- December 31, 2025-0.2pt0%
+1 more outcomes
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
- Next Claude Opus released by which date?
- OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?
- Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
- U.S. enacts AI safety bill before 2027?
- How many more Millennium Prize Problems will AI solve in 2026?
- Will CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- Stanley Cup Finals Winner
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Anthropic IPO by….??
- Manifold Markets prices December 31 11.59pm ET at 77% as of September 21, 2026.
- When does Will Anthropic IPO by….? resolve?
- Will Anthropic IPO by….? is scheduled to resolve on December 30, 2026.
- How is Will Anthropic IPO by….? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves yes if Anthropic has IPO’d and has shares listed on a public stock exchange available for purchase by the date listed.
- Where else is Will Anthropic IPO by….? listed?
- The same question is also listed on Limitless, Polymarket.